Monday, 8 February 2016

The best teams ever, take three



In previous posts, we’ve compared the best teams from different eras by measuring their superiority with respect to an average team of their own era (which is what our ratings directly measure), and by  the length time that they spent at the top.  In this post, we’ll rank the teams by one more criteria: the difference in ratings between the team topping the list and the team in second place. This disadvantages any team that was part of a strong duopoly; but avoids over-rating teams that were fortunate to play in eras where there was some weak opposition about, devaluing the meaning of "better than average". So in this table, we’ve added an extra two columns: in the last column, the largest margin that a team has had (while top of the rankings) over the team in second place, and in the penultimate column, the date that was achieved.  The full period during which a team held first place around this date, and the highest absolute rating it achived druing this period, are still conveyed in the previous columns.  The highest absolute rating of a top placed team in such a period is generally larger its greatest margin over second place, but not always: sometimes the team in second place had a worse-than-average (i.e. less than zero) rating, although this was obviously more likely to occur in the eras when fewer teams were playing.

26 Dec 1999  24 Nov 2009  Australia     2 Jan 2008  283  26 Dec 2007  222        

21 Mar 1885  29 Jan 1898  England      11 Aug 1890  144  11 Aug 1890  198        

18 Aug 1934  28 Jan 1955  Australia     5 Dec 1952  218  20 Jan 1950  176

14 Sep 1983  26 Dec 1991  West Indies  11 Apr 1986  198  24 Jul 1986  172

31 Dec 1920  14 Dec 1928  Australia    16 Jan 1925  136  16 Jan 1925  159

 6 Mar 1906  23 Feb 1912  Australia    15 Dec 1911  100  15 Dec 1911  143        

 1 Jan 1902  26 Feb 1904  Australia    24 Jul 1902  134  24 Jul 1902  134        

27 Jun 1930  23 Feb 1933  Australia     4 Mar 1932  169  12 Feb 1932  127        

30 Dec 1972  11 Aug 1977  Australia     1 Jan 1977  128   8 Jul 1976  117        

 5 Dec 1958  27 Jan 1961  Australia    21 Nov 1959  184  14 Mar 1959  112   
     
So this really is a depressing list if you’re not from Australia, who occupy eight of the top ten positions, but subjectively it seems like the most convincing of our three lists of the best ever teams. The top six entries, and seven of the top ten, were also on the previous list (teams enjoying long runs at the top). Added these seven are three additional Australian slides: those which played at the peak of Victor Trumper’s career, at the start of Don Bradman’s, and under the captaincy of Richie Benaud.  Five of this top ten were also in the first list (of the teams with the highest abolsute rating); and the mighty Australians of the early 21st century lead in terms of the highest ever rating, the highest margin over 2nd place, and the longest period continuously atop the ratings if one breaks up the periods that covered the world wars.  So that’s a pretty convincing case that the side of Waugh and Ponting was indeed the most dominant team of all time.

But not one of the four sides to have registered a top 10 rating since 2009 can compete for a top 10 place either in terms of the duration of their dominance, nor in terms of their greatest margin over 2nd place.  When England claimed first place in the ICC rankings in 2011, many sneered and said that the claim was unjustified, but England also claimed first place under my system, and with a very good score. But this was more of a “first-among-equals” relationship than the absolute dominance that some other teams have had in other eras, and they don't make this particular top 10.

That's it (for now) for historical data; next time, we’ll take a look at the current rankings.

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