England were briefly top of the world in my world ratings at the end of last yeat, having won a rare away test in India. The home side then delivered a triple revenge, and back at home, England have also lost to New Zealand (who have since beaten India in the inaugural world test championship final). Now they face India once more, this time with home advantage. But the Indians look super-strong, and with such strength in depth, could easily win in the UK. They had eked out a definite advantage in the first test before rain prevented a result. England's hopes seem to very must rest on their captain, Root.
Within India the higher-rated team, but England having home advantage, the draw has almost no effect on my ratings. In other words, the difference in the two team's ratings is almost exactly sufficient to offset home advantage when it comes to predicting a result. The mildy revised ratings looks like this:
- New Zealand 260
- India 242 -1
- Australia 177
- England 156 +1
- Pakistan 118
- South Africa 104
- Sri Lanka 20
- West Indies -26
- Bangladesh -129
- Zimbabwe -280
- Afghanistan -303
- Ireland -338
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