Friday, 31 March 2017

Cricket World Ratings 31st March 2017

 Quite a lot of cricket has been played in the last couple of weeks.  With their series against Australia tied at 1-1, India drew their next game; but won the final one, completing a comeback victory and cementing their place on top of cricket's world ratings. South Africa, touring New Zealand, have drawn one and won one; while Bnagladesh have followed up their home win against England late last year with their best ever away victory, against Sri Lanka, a development that has boosted them to their highest ever level in the ratings.  Put together, these results leave us with the following pecking order:

India         192 +11  
South Africa  142  +7  
Australia     115 -11  
New Zealand    53  -7 
England        25    
Pakistan        2    
Sri Lanka      -1 -28 
West Indies   -58    
Bangladesh   -145 +27  
Zimbabwe     -325

The offical ratings tell a mostly similar story, although the order is slightly different, as are the margins:

India        122 +2
South Africa 109 +2
Australia    108 -1
England      101
Pakistan      97
New Zealand   96 -2
Sri Lanka     90 -2
West Indies   69
Bangladesh    66 +4
Zimbabwe       5

From here, the schedule gets lighter for a bit.  Pakistan visit the West Indies at the end of April.  What will be most interesting is when India, whose current rating is as high as it's ever been, hit the road, and try to defend the plaudits won on home soil elsewhere.

Monday, 13 March 2017

Cricket World Ratings 13th March 2017

3 test matches have just been completed.  New Zealand (at home) were holding their own against a strong South African team when rain washed out the match (a perrenial hazard when games are scheduled in the South Island); Sri Lanka saw off Bangldesh; and most notably, India came from behind to win their second test against Australia, an important result following their wholly unexpected thrashing in the first test.  The result of all this is to consolidate India's position as number one team.

India         181 +16 
South Africa  135  -5 
Australia     126 -15  
New Zealand    60  +5 
Sri Lanka      26  +8 
England        25    
Pakistan        2    
West Indies   -58    
Bangladesh   -172  -8  
Zimbabwe     -325

In all 3 series, another round of matches start this week, and there's then one more test in both of India and New Zealand. These games will essentially mark the end of the test cricket year.  There's then a gap - of a little under a month - before the next round of matches start, when Pakistan travel to the West Indies at the end of April.

Monday, 27 February 2017

Cricket World Ratings 2th February 2017

This winter has told a story of Indian ascendency.  With a string of home games giving them an advantage, the Indians have built up a position as the world's number one team, most notably by beating England in 4 consecutive games.  At the end of the English summer, several sides, inclduing not only England but also Pakistan and Australia were in contention for this title.  6 months or so later, India appear dominant.  The Australians have done well in their last few matches, but were damaged by a catastrophe in Sri Lanka and a poor start at home against Aouth Africa.  Thrashing Paskistan has lifted them back in the ratings, but few would have expected them to sustain this during their visit to India.  But in the most surprising result in recent months, the team has not only won their first test, but have slaughtered the home side, dismissing them twice for barely more than 100 runs.  Spinner O'Keefe was their hero, with 12 wickets in the match.  England, who barely looked capable to taking a single Indian wicket at times, must be looking on in envy.

Now, one match doesn't completely change the world ratings, but it does narrow the gap, and give Australia hope of taking the number one spot for themselves if they can secure a famous series win.  There's still a lot of work to do before that can happen; but suddenly, India don't look quite so invincible any more. The current ratings are listed below

India         165 -21
Australia     141 +20  
South Africa  140    
New Zealand    55    
England        25    
Sri Lanka      18    
Pakistan        2    
West Indies   -58    
Bangladesh   -164   
Zimbabwe     -325

Monday, 13 February 2017

Cricket World Ratings 13th February 2017

Some matches are predictable.  Had Bangldesh managed to beat India, in the only test the two nations were scheduled to play, the result would have been a major shock. India's comfortable 200-run win is barely news, and has little effect on the world ratings, which are essentially unchanged:

India         186 +3
South Africa  140    
Australia     121   
New Zealand    55   
England        25    
Sri Lanka      18    
Pakistan        2    
West Indies   -58    
Bangladesh   -164 -2 
Zimbabwe     -325

The official ratings are similarly hardly touched, although notice the non-reciprocality, due to the complex rules that apply when there's a big gap between the ratings of two teams:

India        120 +1
Australia    109
South Africa 107
England      101
New Zealand   98
Pakistan      97
Sri Lanka     92
West Indies   69
Bangladesh    62 -3
Zimbabwe       5 


India's rating is now the highest it has ever been under my system, but a bigger challenge awaits them before the month is out: Australia will come to the subcontinent.  But given the hard time the antipodean team had in Sri Lanka last year, it will be a real surprise if they manage to take the shine off India's recent impressive run. 

Monday, 23 January 2017

Cricket World Ratings 23rd January 2017

New Zealand have just won their second test against Bangldesh, with a small effect on the ratings as follows:

India         183    
South Africa  140    
Australia     121    
New Zealand    55 +7
England        25    
Sri Lanka      18    
Pakistan        2    
West Indies   -58    
Bangladesh   -162 -7  
Zimbabwe     -325

And in the official ratings, the effect is similar:

India        120
Australia    109
South Africa 107
England      101
New Zealand   98 +2
Pakistan      97
Sri Lanka     92
West Indies   69
Bangladesh    65 -3
Zimbabwe       5 

Next up, Bangldesh face a near impossible challenge when they play a single test in India in early February.

Thursday, 19 January 2017

Cricket World Ratings 19th January 2017

Two more results with which to update my cricket world ratings: another win for South Africa over Sri Lanka (making their record 3/3 in the current series), and a victory for New Zealand over Bangladesh.   Neither reuslt is surprising, and in consequenc, the latest ratings now look as follows:

India         183    
South Africa  140 +11  
Australia     121    
New Zealand    48 +7   
England        25    
Sri Lanka      18 -12 
Pakistan        2    
West Indies   -58   
Bangladesh   -155  -7  
Zimbabwe     -325

The result in South Africa has completed that series, which now shows up  in the officla ratings too:

India        120
Australia    109
South Africa 107 +5
England      101
Pakistan      97
New Zealand   96
Sri Lanka     92 -4
West Indies   69
Bangladesh    65
Zimbabwe       5 

The main difference being the relatively low status of Pakistan in my list.

Next matches: Bangladesh, who beat England in one game (at home) this winter, play one more match in New Zealand, and then face a near-impossible challenge (according to the statistics) in a single match in India.

Saturday, 7 January 2017

Cricket World Ratings 7th January 2017

 Recent test matches have brought success for three home sides: India against England, Australia against Sri Lanka, and South Africa against Pakistan.  Collectively, the home teams are winning by the the score of 9-0, with one draw, confirming the general trend for Asian sides to be strong at home, and weak away.  Interestingly, the effect this has had on my rating system for cricket sides has been to life New Zealand (narrowly) to fourth place; it's also notable that the gap between Pakistan and the West Indies looks smaller than it has done for quite a while.  Meanwhile, India rank top, and with quite a good margin, while Australia have quickly bounced back from a brief, disastrous run of five consecutive defeats.

India         183    
South Africa  129 +13  
Australia     121 +14  
New Zealand    41    
Sri Lanka      30 -12   
England        25    
Pakistan        2 -11 
West Indies   -58    
Bangladesh   -148   
Zimbabwe     -325

The offical ratings, meanwhile, tell a similar (but not identical) story:

India        120
Australia    109 +4
South Africa 102
England      101
Pakistan      97 -5
New Zealand   96
Sri Lanka     96
West Indies   69
Bangladesh    65
Zimbabwe       5 

The next test scheduled is the final game between South Africa and Sri Lanka, which starts next week.