Monday, 21 November 2016

Cricket World Ratings 21st November 2016



A lot of cricket has been played in the past few weeks, beginning with a momentous game.  Bangladesh had never previously won a test against opponents more illustrious than the West Indies or Zimbabwe; but on a turning wicket, they only just fell short of England in the first test of the two nation’s two-match series.  Another turner for the second test, and again England, so effective recently on seaming pitches, looked out of their depth as bowlers and players of spin.  This time, Bangladesh were not to be denied; and the team secured a famous win.  Logically, Bangladesh should become a place where cricket can flourish, with a large, and interested, population. This win may perhaps be remembered as an important step on that journey.

England then had to travel to top-ranked India, for an even more demanding challenge.  But they secured the better of a draw in the first test, with big runs for five of their top six batsmen (who had collectively looked out-of-sorts even in the summer in England, and even more so in Bangldesh).  But, admittedly after losing a crucial toss, the home side crushed their visitors in the second game of what will be a five game series.  England may win a game along the way, but, unlike the side that toured India in 2011, this doesn’t look to be a team that can come home with a series win (or even a draw).  India’s status as world number ones looks secure for a while.

Sri Lanka recently provided a shock to the system by delivering a 3-0 walloping to their visitors Australia, who had arrived on tour with the number one rating that now belongs to India; they’ve followed this up with a pair of unsurprising victories over Zimbabwe. Very briefly, in between, Pakistan grabbed the number one spot (there are a lot of teams quite close in terms of ability at the moment).  But after beating the West Indies in the first two matches that the two teams had played, they lost the final game, and have now made a losing start to their tour of New Zealand. So one-by-one, India’s rivals for the top spot appear to be falling away.

Even more strikingly, Australia have started their home series against South Africa with two more crushing defeats, meaning that the team have now been thrashed five matches in succession.  In 1984 the team lost six straight games to the then-mighty West Indies; this time, it’s harder to see an excuse.  Since early last year, a lot of fine players have retired from the Australian team: batsmen Michael Clarke and Chris Rogers, wicket keeper Brad Haddin, all-rounder Shane Watson plus the team’s erratic talisman, pace-man Mitchell Johnson; but new captain Steve Smith took over from Clarke and looked ruthless in defeating New Zealand and the West Indies.  Suddenly, however, the team looks very fragile.  Of course, we’re talking about an awful couple of months, and perhaps Australia will put this run behind them and it will be remembered primarily as a statistical curiosity.  But it’s potentially very bad for morale, and the fear will be that the conveyor of talent, which has run full for Australia for 25 years, might finally be empty. As an Englishman, however, I’m not making that call yet.

 So my method for rating the teams currently assesses them in this order:

India         152  +8  
South Africa  122 +32  
Australia      61 -32  
Pakistan       60 -59   
Sri Lanka      57  +5  
England        56 -38 
New Zealand    22 +22   
West Indies   -58 +37  
Bangladesh   -148 +29 
Zimbabwe     -325  -5

And Bangldesh's first win over a top seven country takes them to their highest ever score.  On the other hand, Zimbabwe's -325 is a record low for any side ever.  The ICC method, which only counts series upon their conclusion, currently rates the sides as follows:

India        115
Pakistan     109  -2
Australia    108
England      105  -3
South Africa  96
Sri Lanka     96  +1
New Zealand   91
West Indies   69  +2
Bangladesh    65  +8
Zimbabwe       5  -3

The normal caveat, that the numbers are not directly comparable, still applies